Results from the 2020 census reveal some notable changes in population distribution over the last decade. The U.S. population grew by about 7% from 2010 to 2020, or by about 20 million people. Over the same period, more than 80% of U.S. metro areas reported population growth.
While it remains to be seen whether the broad trend of urbanization will continue into the future, a new report from Washington D.C.-based economic and demographic data firm Woods & Poole Economics, Inc. projects that the population of several U.S. metro areas is likely to swell by over 50% in the coming decades.
Population change is the end result of two factors: migration and natural change. Migration is the net change of people moving to and from an area, while natural change is the number of births less the number of deaths.
Accounting for these factors and anticipating future trends, the population of the Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers metro area in Arkansas is projected to grow from 570,100 in 2022 to 1,003,300 in 2060. The 76.0% projected population growth in the metro area is the 14th highest of all 384 U.S. metro areas.
Economic opportunity is one of the most common reasons people move within the United States. Over the same period, employment in Fayetteville is projected to grow by 112.1% by 2060, while personal income per capita is projected to grow from $80,366 in 2022 to $517,387 in 2060.
All data in this story is from Woods & Poole Economics, Inc., Washington D.C. Copyright 2022.
RankMetro areaChange in population, 2022 to 2060Total population, 2022Projected population, 20601The Villages, FL+223.2%139,900452,1002St. George, UT+118.1%195,200425,7003Austin, TX+97.4%2,398,4004,733,5004Cape Coral, FL+92.0%803,0001,541,4005Las Vegas, NV+90.5%2,335,6004,450,0006Greeley, CO+89.0%346,600655,0007Bend, OR+83.6%208,500382,9008Provo, UT+82.7%709,6001,296,6009Myrtle Beach, SC+81.9%519,200944,70010Port St. Lucie, FL+80.1%511,300920,60011Raleigh, NC+79.8%1,474,6002,651,40012Naples, FL+78.5%392,600700,70013Mcallen, TX+76.3%895,0001,578,20014Fayetteville, AR+76.0%570,1001,003,30015Orlando, FL+75.3%2,737,8004,800,10016Boise City, ID+68.8%807,7001,363,10017Phoenix, AZ+67.3%5,021,5008,398,60018Dallas, TX+63.3%7,874,00012,859,60019Midland, TX+62.6%175,700285,70020Houston, TX+62.2%7,310,90011,857,50021Daphne, AL+61.9%243,000393,20022Kennewick, WA+60.7%312,700502,50023Coeur D’Alene, ID+60.5%182,400292,60024Charleston, SC+60.3%824,4001,321,30025Hilton Head Island, SC+59.3%225,300358,90026Charlotte, NC+58.4%2,738,8004,339,40027San Antonio, TX+58.3%2,637,5004,176,00028Sebastian, FL+58.0%165,600261,70029Riverside, CA+56.8%4,716,7007,396,00030Ocala, FL+56.8%390,500612,10031Nashville, TN+56.1%2,039,4003,182,50032Punta Gorda, FL+55.6%197,100306,70033Lakeland, FL+55.5%764,2001,188,60034Laredo, TX+54.9%271,600420,60035Prescott Valley, AZ+54.5%245,000378,50036College Station, TX+54.4%275,100424,70037Sioux Falls, SD+53.5%285,700438,40038Atlanta, GA+53.4%6,223,7009,549,30039Jacksonville, FL+52.9%1,658,8002,536,20040Reno, NV+51.6%504,000764,100